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by Jim Wrenn, Editor
(July 21, 2000)
on who will be the vice presidential nominees:
The tickets will be Bush/Powell and Gore/Feinstein...
Despite Colin Powell's vehement statements that he will not
"seek" elective office, he never said he wouldn't "run" if
nominated. Remember, Sherman said, "If nominated, I will not run; if
elected I will not serve." A couple of decades ago, the smart and
witty Mo Udall was even more emphatic when he said, "If nominated, I will
run ... for the Mexican Border, and if elected, I will resist extradition."
During the Persian Gulf War, Colin Powell was extremely adept
in keeping his strategic cards quite close to his vest. Powell is a man
who devoted himself to a career requiring a willingness to lay down his life for
his country. He knows that for him to accept the nomination to run for
Vice President would not only virtually guarantee Bush's election but would also
have an enormously powerful healing effect on a country still struggling with
interracial awkwardness. I'm sure he is Bush's first choice, and I just
refuse to believe he would refuse requests from George W. Bush, Former President
Bush, Dick Cheney, and numerous other heavyweights that he join the ticket..
In my opinion, Bush's selection of Powell, and Powell's
stature and popularity, would attract far more new voters to a Bush/Powell
ticket than would be lost among the small, one-issue faction threatening to stay
on the sidelines if Bush were to pick a candidate not professing a near
absolutist anti-abortion position. Not only would there be a significant
(if not dramatic) increase in the percentage of blacks willing to vote for a
Republican ticket, but Powell's selection would also increase Bush's already
demonstrated appeal to other minorities. Furthermore, Bush's willingness
to risk the wrath of the one-issue faction by selecting Powell despite his
"pro-choice" position would make it more difficult for Gore to use
abortion as a wedge issue to recreate the now-closed "gender gap"
among women. Finally, a Bush/Powell ticket would widen the current "gender gap" favoring Bush among male voters. For these reasons,
I believe Powell will be the VP nominee.
I believe Gore will be determined to try to make abortion the
wedge issue, but if Bush were to persuade Powell to run, I think Gore will
conclude that his only chance to recreate an abortion-rights gender gap would be
to chose a woman of stature as his running mate. Therefore, I think Gore
will choose Diane Feinstein. In fact, I think he'll choose her regardless
of whom Bush were to select because even those on the opposite end of the
political spectrum from her would readily concede she is a person of high
intellect and substance-- sort of a Maggie Thatcher of the left.
Thus, to borrow the term coined by William Safire, I believe
we are on the verge of a watershed event in American history because this
election will produce the first black or the first woman as Vice President and
dramatically increase the chances that the successor of whoever is elected
President this time will be either a woman or a black, both of whom would be
considered qualified people apart from, rather than because of, race and/or
My prediction is that Bush/Powell will be elected by a
landslide. Such election will restore morale and pride among those in the
military; reverse the slide in retention and recruitment, make potential foreign
aggressors less eager to make trouble, make blacks more proud to be Americans
than ever before; restore dignity to the White House, and decelerate but
reverse, our slide down the slippery slope of entitlementism, a term I'm coining to
describe American voters' craving for the false security of governmental
redistribution of wealth over the long-term security inherent in liberty and
respect for the fruits of human labor (i.e., property).
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